( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
First, read more about What are spaghetti models? and Why would I want to view spaghetti models?
Individual storm spaghetti models
- Tropical Storm FRANCINE spaghetti models
Interactive spaghetti model map
- zoom to 06 AL -- show/hide intensity predictions
- Median: 67 knots
- Average: 67.24137931034483 knots
- HFBI: 90 knots
- NNIC: 85 knots
- CTCI: 85 knots
- HFAI: 82 knots
- SHIP: 77 knots
- DSHP: 77 knots
- RI30: 75 knots
- OFCL: 75 knots
- IVCN: 75 knots
- DRCL: 75 knots
- NNIB: 74 knots
- LGEM: 73 knots
- RI25: 70 knots
- NVGI: 70 knots
- ICON: 67 knots
- RVCN: 65 knots
- OFCI: 65 knots
- HMNI: 62 knots
- AVNI: 62 knots
- SHF5: 61 knots
- OCD5: 61 knots
- HWF2: 61 knots
- IVRI: 57 knots
- HWFI: 56 knots
- CMC2: 53 knots
- AEMI: 53 knots
- TCLP: 49 knots
- CEM2: 48 knots
- UKX2: 47 knots
- zoom to 92 AL -- show/hide intensity predictions
- Median: 59.0 knots
- Average: 54.208333333333336 knots
- HMNI: 108 knots
- ICON: 81 knots
- SHIP: 80 knots
- DSHP: 80 knots
- IVCN: 72 knots
- HWFI: 72 knots
- AVNI: 69 knots
- TCLP: 68 knots
- LGEM: 66 knots
- RVCN: 65 knots
- SHF5: 60 knots
- OCD5: 60 knots
- NNIB: 58 knots
- NNIC: 54 knots
- AEMI: 42 knots
- CTCI: 39 knots
- HFAI: 35 knots
- NVGI: 30 knots
- HFBI: 29 knots
- UKX2: 28 knots
- EGR2: 28 knots
- UKM2: 27 knots
- CMC2: 25 knots
- CEM2: 25 knots
- zoom to 92 IO -- show/hide intensity predictions
- Median: 30 knots
- Average: 30.363636363636363 knots
- AP13: 38 knots
- AP23: 34 knots
- AP14: 34 knots
- AP30: 33 knots
- AP16: 32 knots
- AP03: 32 knots
- AP22: 31 knots
- AP18: 31 knots
- AP12: 31 knots
- AP07: 31 knots
- AP02: 31 knots
- AP29: 30 knots
- AP26: 30 knots
- AP21: 30 knots
- AP20: 30 knots
- AP19: 30 knots
- AP11: 30 knots
- AP08: 30 knots
- AP06: 30 knots
- AP05: 30 knots
- AP04: 30 knots
- AP01: 30 knots
- AEMN: 30 knots
- AP28: 29 knots
- AP27: 29 knots
- AP24: 29 knots
- AC00: 29 knots
- AVNX: 28 knots
- AP25: 28 knots
- AP17: 28 knots
- AP15: 28 knots
- AP10: 28 knots
- AP09: 28 knots
- zoom to 95 WP -- show/hide intensity predictions
- Median: 32 knots
- Average: 42.21212121212121 knots
- AP06: 87 knots
- AP15: 81 knots
- AVNX: 80 knots
- AP11: 80 knots
- AP14: 75 knots
- AP16: 65 knots
- AP19: 63 knots
- AP12: 49 knots
- AEMN: 49 knots
- AP23: 48 knots
- AP10: 48 knots
- AP25: 47 knots
- AP09: 45 knots
- AP30: 39 knots
- AP22: 38 knots
- AP26: 37 knots
- AP18: 32 knots
- AP21: 31 knots
- AP07: 31 knots
- AP28: 29 knots
- AP17: 29 knots
- AP05: 29 knots
- AC00: 29 knots
- AP27: 28 knots
- AP24: 28 knots
- AP13: 28 knots
- AP08: 28 knots
- AP03: 27 knots
- AP02: 25 knots
- AP01: 24 knots
- AP29: 23 knots
- AP20: 22 knots
- AP04: 19 knots
06 AL spaghetti models
Highest predicted winds
Highest predicted winds of all models
92 AL spaghetti models
Highest predicted winds
Highest predicted winds of all models
92 IO spaghetti models
Highest predicted winds
Highest predicted winds of all models
95 WP spaghetti models
Highest predicted winds
Highest predicted winds of all models
Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 06AL
Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 92AL
Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 92IO
Experimental Spaghetti Model Intensity Graph for 95WP
Spaghetti Models from South Florida Water Management District
Spaghetti Models Data is from the South Florida Water Management District
Future Tropical Cyclones
When new storms reach tropical storm strength, they will receive the following names:
- atl: Francine Gordon Helene Isaac Joyce Kirk Leslie Milton Nadine Oscar Patty Rafael Sara Tony Valerie William
- epac: Ileana John Kristy Lane Miriam Norman Olivia Paul Rosa Sergio Tara Vicente Willa Xavier Yolanda Zeke
- cpac: Iona Keli Lala Moke Nolo Olana Pena Ulana Wale
- nwpac: Bebinca Pulasan Soulik Cimaron Jebi Krathon Barijat Trami Kong-rey Yinxing Toraji Man-yi Usagi Pabuk Wutip Sepat
- nin: Dana Fengal Shakhti Montha Senyar Ditwah
- sin: Gezani Horacio Indusa Juluka Kundai Lisebo Michel Nousra Olivier Pokera Quincy Rebaone Salama Tristan Ursula Violet Wilson Xila Yekela Zania
- spac: Robyn Sean Taliah Vince Zelia
What are spaghetti models?
What are spaghetti models? Spaghetti models (also called spaghetti plots) is the nickname given to the computer models that show potential tropical cyclone paths. When shown together, the individual model tracks can somewhat resemble strands of spaghetti.
Why would I want to view spaghetti models? In short, it gives you a way to see where a tropical storm or hurricane may head. It can also give insight into whether the models are in agreement on the path of the storm (for instance, all models show Florida in the path of a hurricane) or if there is a wide differing opinion on where the storm may go. For instance, in the case of Tropical Storm Debby, the original NHC storm path had her going straight west to Texas, but if you viewed the spaghetti models at that time, you would have had a glimpse into just how uncertain Debby's path was. Debby's spaghetti models had her making landfall from anywhere from Texas to Florida to everywhere in between.
Spaghetti models are also useful in the case of a developing storm system that has not officially become a tropical depression or a tropical storm, meaning that no agency has released an official path. In these instances, spaghetti models can serve to give you an early heads up as to where a future tropical storm or hurricane may head.
However, once a tropical disturbance has officially become a tropical cyclone, different government agencies (e.g. the National Hurricane Center for the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic basins) release an official best guess path based on their analysis of the different model data and other factors. These forecasts should be used for official planning, though the spaghetti plots can still be quite useful for seeing how confident all of the models are (e.g., in the case of Debby listed above).
The Different Spaghetti Models
- XTRP
- TVCN
- NHC
- BAMD
- BAMM
- BAMS
- GFDL
- UKM
- NGPS
- AVNO
- AEMN
- HWRF
- CM
- APxx
- CLP5
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